What are Wichita State's odds of advancing to the Sweet 16?
According to FiveThirtyEight's projection model, the Shockers have a 50-percent chance of moving on to Boston in the East regional. WSU (25-7) opens the NCAA Tournament as a No. 4 seed against No. 13 seed Marshall (24-10) in San Diego at 12:20 p.m. Friday with the broadcast on TNT.
FiveThirtyEight gives WSU a 91 percent chance to beat Marshall in the first round and a 50-percent chance of winning in the next round against the winner of West Virginia and Murray State. West Virginia, an 84-percent favorite in Round 1, is given a 45-percent chance of advancing to the Sweet 16.
Past that, WSU's odds drastically decrease as it would likely run into No. 1 seed Villanova in Boston in the Sweet 16. The web site gives Villanova the second-highest chances of winning the tournament at 17 percent, just behind Virginia's 18 percent.
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WSU has a 13 percent chance of reaching the Elite Eight, a six percent chance of reaching the Final Four in San Antonio, a three percent chance of making the championship game and a one percent chance of winning the title.