The best Super Bowl prop bets to make for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Prop bets. The Super Bowl is loaded with them.
More than any other event on the sporting calendar, this game provides gamblers with an endless array of betting angles.
You can bet on everything from the pregame coin toss to the postgame Gatorade bath. The action never stops.
Kickoff won’t arrive for nearly two weeks in New Orleans, but there are already a boat load of prop bets available. Here’s a look at a few that have value for the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles.
Another Super Bowl MVP for Patrick Mahomes?
I think the answer is yes. Patrick Mahomes has been named Super Bowl MVP after all three of his victories in the big game, and that seems unlikely to change if the Chiefs win next Sunday.
There was no strong alternate choice at the past two Super Bowls. And voters gave the award to Mahomes even when Damien Williams scored two touchdowns and rushed for more than 100 yards in Super Bowl LIV.
It’s certainly possible that the Eagles win this game and the award goes to Saquon Barkley or Jalen Hurts. But Mahomes will likely be the only choice if the Chiefs prevail. Even if Travis Kelce and Xavier Worthy have monster games, Mahomes will still be throwing to them.
Chris Jones feels like the best longshot on the Chiefs at 60-to-1.
You can get Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP at +120 odds. That is a nice alternative to betting the Chiefs on the money line at -130.
Bet: Patrick Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP.
Don’t forget about Samaje Perine
You had to wait until the bitter end of the AFC Championship game for the bet to cash, but Samaje Perine made his bettors very happy when he caught a 17-yard pass from Mahomes in the final moments against the Buffalo Bills.
Perine’s over/under receiving yards total for that game was 6.5. You can get the same number at the Super Bowl.
I like the over. Perine cleared 6.5 receiving yards in 16(!) games this season, including 13 straight to end the regular season.
Plus, you get the added excitement of him potentially winning the bet with one catch.
Bet: Samaje Perine over 6.5 receiving yards.
Can the Chiefs slow down Saquon Barkley?
Probably not. Barkley has cleared 115 yards in every playoff game this season and enters the Super Bowl fresh off a three-touchdown performance in the NFC Championship Game.
Still, I think there is value on his under at the Super Bowl.
Barkley’s yardage total was sitting at 116.5 as of Wednesday afternoon. I like the under. The Chiefs haven’t allowed a 100-yard rusher in 18 consecutive playoff games.
James Cook had a big day against Kansas City in the AFC Championship game with 85 yards and two touchdowns. But he fell well short of Barkley’s projected total for the Super Bowl.
Barkley broke free for a 60-yard run against Washington and a 78-yard run against the Rams. I doubt he reels off anything close to that against the Chiefs. The over/under for his longest rush is 25.5. He will split rushing duties with Hurts. There just might not be enough volume for him to go over his rushing yards prop.
There is little doubt that Barkley will lead the game in rushing yards and score a touchdown or two. But it may be hard for him to rush for 117-plus yards.
Bet: Saquon Barkley under 116.5 rushing yards.
Trust this wide receiver as a runner
Xavier Worthy going over 3.5 rushing yards was free money last week in the AFC Championship Game.
The sports books aren’t going to make it that easy for us at the Super Bowl, as his rushing prop has steamed up to 5.5. But I still like Worthy to rush for double-digit yards against the Eagles.
The speedy wide receiver has seen at least one rushing attempt in the past six games he has played, and he has cleared 6.5 rushing yards in four of them.
My guess is Andy Reid will use Worthy on the ground multiple times in the Super Bowl.
Bet: Xavier Worthy over 6.5 rushing yards.
Bottom of the market on Isaiah Pacheco
Here’s how bad things have gotten for Pacheco in the KC backfield: his over/under rushing yards for the Super Bowl is 21.5.
Both Patrick Mahomes (28.5) and Jalen Hurts (37.5) are projected to rush for more yards. Kareem Hunt is projected for more than double his prop (46.5).
This is an extremely low number for a running back who gets on the field as much as Pacheco. His numbers of late have been abysmal, and he hasn’t cleared 20 rushing yards in three straight games. But he’s going to get a handful of carries in the Super Bowl. He can hit this over with one decent run.
Bet: Isaiah Pacheco over 21.5 rushing yards.
Dallas Goedert has been on a roll
Hurts loves throwing the ball to his tight end in the playoffs almost as much as Mahomes.
Dallas Goedert has at least four catches and 47 yards in all three of his playoff games this year, and he is coming off a huge game against the Commanders in which he reeled in seven passes for 85 yards.
The Chiefs have struggled to defend tight ends in the passing game this season, which makes Goedert a threat to have a big game against them in New Orleans.
Bet: Dallas Goedert over 51.5 receiving yards.
Other prop bets worth considering
- Travis Kelce most receiving yards in the Super Bowl at +300
- Any successful two-point conversion at +220
- KC Chiefs to come from behind and win at +160
- Harrison Butker over 7.5 points scored at -110
- Saquon Barkley first TD scorer at +500
- Eagles to score first at -110
- Chiefs to score last at -110
- Game to go to overtime at +1300
- Tails to win coin toss at -105
This story was originally published January 29, 2025 at 12:28 PM with the headline "The best Super Bowl prop bets to make for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles."