Finger on the Weather

Tornadoes, large hail possible on Tuesday in Wichita area

If you have a family plan for what to do if violent weather threatens, this weekend would be a good time to dust it off.

If you don’t have a shelter plan, this weekend would be a good time to develop one.

Forecast models are consistent in predicting severe weather Tuesday in the Southern Plains, stretching from southern Kansas – including Wichita – to northcentral Texas.

The atmospheric setup “will favor supercells capable of all severe hazards, including very large hail and tornadoes,” the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Storm Prediction Center reports in an outlook for Tuesday.

Much can change between now and Tuesday, so monitor forecasts closely. Wichita is on the northwest edge of a zone which has a 30 percent chance of severe weather.

Much of Wichita’s metropolitan area is also in that zone. Tuesday also happens to be the 25th anniversary of one of the deadliest tornadoes in Kansas, which killed 17 people when it hit Haysville, south Wichita, McConnell Air Force Base and Andover in 1991.

The F-5 tornado was on the ground for more than 60 miles and had sustained winds estimated at 260 miles an hour.