WASHINGTON — Behind the scenes of a Senate debate that started Monday over the future of health care in America, lawmakers are struggling to resolve a more explosive issue: how to pay for all their ideas.
Federal budget deficits remain at record highs. The national debt is $12.1 trillion, and Congress must vote soon to let it go higher or else the Treasury won't be able to issue new debt. President Obama's plan to send additional troops to Afghanistan will require more spending.
Despite the Obama administration's promise of a new era of fiscal responsibility, seven of the 12 major appropriations bills that set federal spending — including those that govern the budgets of the Departments of Defense, Health and Human Services and Transportation — still haven't passed Congress.
Those agencies have been operating since Oct. 1 on stopgap resolutions; the next one expires Dec. 18.
Add to this the $848 billion 10-year cost of the Senate health care proposal, and it appears that "it's all starting to come crashing down in one big piece," said Maya MacGuineas, the president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, a Washington watchdog group.
Moderates and conservatives are urging the creation of a commission to study and recommend deficit-cutting strategies, and public support is strong. A survey Nov. 16-18 of 700 registered voters found that 70 percent favored the idea.
The survey, commissioned by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation, a fiscal watchdog group, also found that 66 percent said Washington officials weren't paying enough attention to budget issues, up 10 percentage points from February.
"The bottom line is that the American electorate is way ahead of Washington policymakers," said David Walker, the foundation's president and CEO.
A bipartisan group of a dozen senators wants to attach an amendment that would create such a commission to the bill to raise the federal debt ceiling above $12.1 trillion, expected in mid-to late December.
Separately, Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad, D-N.D., and Sen. Judd Gregg of New Hampshire, the panel's top Republican, have proposed creating a deficit reduction task force that includes congressional and administration officials.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is talking to colleagues about the idea, but it has a formidable opponent: House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., who thinks that the existing process is adequate to address such issues.
Few politically viable alternatives remain, said Isabel Sawhill, a senior fellow in economic studies at Washington's Brookings Institution, a center-left research center.
"We're not going to be able to raise taxes; the president has all but taken that off the table," she said. "Social Security would be very tough to take on, and defense spending is going up, not down."
Unless some sort of new budget process is created, Sawhill said, legislation to raise the federal limit could be imperiled, Obama could find a rough fight over Afghanistan funding and the already shaky status of health care legislation could get even more wobbly.
"This has to be done in a way that's fiscally responsible," Sen. Byron Dorgan, D-N.D., said of the health care bill. "It has to be done in a way that is effective.
"If not, there ought not to be legislation passed, in my judgment."