"There may be bumps in our economic recovery, but the next administration and Legislature can maintain critical state programs such as education and public safety at current levels, if they choose to do so," Gov. Mark Parkinson said, responding to last week's new state revenue estimates forecasting a 12.2 percent increase in tax revenue this fiscal year and an additional 4.3 percent increase next year. But notice the key word in Parkinson's statement: "if." Gov.-elect Sam Brownback has said that he would freeze state general fund spending at the current fiscal year level. If he does that and doesn't replace federal stimulus money that is going away, education, Medicaid and other important programs could face budget cuts of about $500 million. So even though increased tax collections and fund transfers could be enough to replace most of the stimulus money and hold funding mostly flat to key programs, Brownback and the Legislature may cut funding anyway. That doesn't make sense.