Some in the national political media are calling Rep. Jerry Moran, R-Goddard, the front-runner for the GOP nomination to U.S. Senate. That's a fair interpretation of the fundraising totals and polls for Moran and Rep. Todd Tiahrt, R-Goddard. But Kansas Republicans know it's all about August primary turnout, which skews conservative. "If you want to look at polls, Jerry Moran obviously leads in that. If you want to look at fundraising, Jerry Moran obviously leads," Sedgwick County GOP Chairman Kelly Arnold told CQ Politics. "There's a lot of people, including myself, who say that Todd Tiahrt will have an advantage."